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Financial institutions tighten rules on prediction markets

Published: 25 August 2026

Canadian financial institutions are tightening employee rules around prediction markets as platforms expand access to event-based contracts. Patrick Augustin, associate professor of finance at McGill Desautels, supports this proactive approach.

Banks and insurers are restricting wagers tied to financial indicators, companies or information employees may obtain through their work.

“They’re more potentially at risk of having people violating confidentiality or trading on that,” Augustin said. He argues that clear policies can reduce insider-trading risks, prevent real or perceived conflicts of interest, and protect clients.

These safeguards will become increasingly important as prediction markets gain popularity and become more widely available across Canada. 

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