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STAT News | How well can you predict the outcome of clinical trials? Not as well as you may think

Published: 22 January 2018

In unpublished research, McGill bioethicist Jonathan Kimmelman and colleagues asked cancer experts to forecast the probability of more than a dozen clinical trials hitting their primary endpoint. They found that the predictions overall were not very accurate, and if anything were too pessimistic. Stat News
 

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