Drought monitoring index for Jamaica

Johanna Richards

Drought is a serious issue in the Jamaican context, with the potential to cause millions of dollars in crop losses. As such, the ability to monitor and anticipate the onset of drought is an important key in alleviating the negative impacts of this phenomenon. The development of drought indices has been identified by water resources managers and stakeholders in Jamaica as being an important step in the development of an integrated water resources management program, and as such has been identified as a high priority for research in Jamaica. 

Therefore, the purpose of this research is three-fold:

  1. To develop drought indices for the island of Jamaica and determine their suitability to represent soil water
  2. To determine the effects of urbanization on surface water supply for the Rio Nuevo sub-basin, St. Mary, using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)
  3. To perform a Drought Frequency Analysis and determine irrigation deficits for 3 study sites on the island

Preliminary research results on the correlation between drought indices and soil water indicate the the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) has potential for use in understanding soil water during drought events in Jamaica. The results from this research will be valuable in predicting and managing the water resources of the entire island.

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