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reasoning

The Dunning-Kruger Effect Is Probably Not Real

17 Dec 2020

I want the Dunning-Kruger effect to be real. First described in a seminal 1999 paper by David Dunning and Justin Kruger, this effect has been the darling of journalists who want to explain why dumb...

Tips for Better Thinking: Shooting First, Drawing the Bullseye Later

9 Dec 2020

As we sift through more information than ever before, I would argue it’s becoming easier to commit an error in thinking known as the Texas sharpshooter fallacy. Imagine the stereotype of a Texan...

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