Expert: U.S. Primaries, Democratic Party results


Published: 4Feb2020

The Iowa Democratic Party says it will release some results of Monday night’s caucuses Tuesday afternoon, blaming inconsistencies in reporting for the delay. Many of the candidates have already moved on to New Hampshire, which holds its primaries in a week. (Washington Post)

Here is a McGill expert who can comment on this topic:

Barry Eidlin, Assistant Professor, Department of Sociology

“While the results of the Iowa caucuses may be in doubt, we can draw a few conclusions. First, Sanders is not to be underestimated, especially given his field operation and small-donor fundraising prowess. Second, Biden is in trouble, although the disarray of the caucuses gave him a reprieve. Third, Buttigieg’s bizarre declaration of victory with no actual reported results may have undermined his candidacy instead of boosting his momentum. Fourth, the irregularities surrounding the reporting of caucus results call into question the integrity of other upcoming caucuses, most notably Nevada’s on February 22, which is supposed to use a phone app similar to the one that malfunctioned in Iowa."

Barry Eidlin is a comparative historical sociologist interested in the study of class, politics, inequality, and social change. More specifically, his research explores the changing relationship between social mobilization, political processes, and ideology in advanced capitalist democracies.

barry.eidlin [at] (English, French)

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